SmokeLess New Zealand

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Is quitting smoking entirely, better than switching to snuff?

Yes, quitting smoking entirely is best. For those unwilling to quit entirely, switching to snuff gives almost the same benefit, especially under age 60.

Smokers who switched from smoking to smokeless, adjusting for age, the number of pack years of cigarettes previously smoked, and many other factors, incurred an 8% higher all cause mortality risk than smokers who quit entirely, according to the American Cancer Society Prevention study II.1 However, in their smoking years, switchers may have smoked their cigarettes more intensively per cigarette than the smokers who quit entirely, inflating the apparent increased risks from switching.1 The extra risk for switchers over and above quitting entirely, is one death per 100 smokers quitting at age 50-54.2

At age 65-69, this extra risk rises to five per 100 quitters. 2

In ACSII, switchers actually switched and stopped smoking 2-3 years later than those entirely quitting. The excess risk of switching over entire quitting would be less than in ACSII, if smokers, finding it easier to switch than to quit entirely, switched sooner, after fewer pack years of smoking.

Caution. This was not a controlled experiment, but a follow-up of smokers. Statistical adjustments were made to control for big differences between the two groups in education and occupation. The switchers were much less well educated, than those quitting entirely.

Table 1. Estimated risk of men dying in the next 16.5 years, per 100, by tobacco habit in the meantime

Were smoking 1- 20 cigarettes a day

Continuing smokers

Switched to smokeless tobacco or snuff

Quit smoking and tobacco

Never smoked

Deaths after switching minus after quitting entirely; per 100 smokers quitting

Percentages

A

B=1.08*C

C

D

C-B

Age 40-44

11

5.4

5

5

5.4 - 5  = 0.4

At age 50-54

27

18

17

11

18 – 17 = 1

At age 55-59

39

30

28

18

30 – 28 = 2

At age 60-64

54

50

46

30

50 – 46 = 4

At age 66-69

68

64

59

46

64 – 59 = 5

- American Cancer Society Prevention Study II, and US Surgeon General.1,2  The 8% excess for switchers over entire quitters used in column B is derived from the whole ACSII survey, not each age group. The risk for snuff takers was 11% greater than for those quitting entirely, but was not statistically significant. Female smokeless tobacco use was not reported on. ________________________________________________________________________________________

1. S J Henley, CJ Connell, P Richter, et al. Tobacco-related disease mortality among men who switched from cigarettes to spit tobacco. Tobacco Control 2007; 16:22-28; doi:10.1136/tc.2006.018069. www.tobaccocontrol.com

 

2 US Public Health Service The health benefits of smoking cessation, a report of the US Surgeon General, 1990, DHHS publication no. 90-8416, at p.83. (based on ACSII)

 

Smokeless options for smokers could hasten a law ending cigarette sales,  save 4000 lives & $22 billion annually

 

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